12 abrdn Asia Focus plc
Performance Review
Over the 12-month period to 31 July 2024 it has been a
tale of two halves for Asian small caps as they traded
within a narrow range in the first six months before
gathering pace to finish the year on a strong note. The
MSCI AC Asia Ex Japan Small Cap Index (the
“benchmark”) returned 14.1% in sterling terms over the
period whilst your Company’s net asset value (“NAV”) and
share price, both in total return terms, increased by 7.9%
and 8.8%, respectively.
As your Chair has highlighted, various key
macroeconomic and political themes influenced investor
sentiment and market movements, such as China’s
slowdown, global recession concerns, US monetary policy
and geopolitics, including the conflict in the Middle East.
Through the uncertainty and volatility witnessed, your
Company’s portfolio posted positive absolute returns, a
testament to the quality and resilience of the underlying
holdings. The initial months proved challenging, due to
unfavourable country allocation effects, but performance
saw a significant improvement in the second half, led
primarily by strong stock selection in India.
Looking at the key drivers of performance, we would
naturally highlight India, where the small cap market was
exceptionally buoyant, rising by 50% over the year. This
market strength came at a time when the stars appeared
to have aligned for the country. GDP growth has been
averaging 6-7% annually. The government’s focus on
structural reforms, particularly in infrastructure and the
supply side of the economy, has boosted investor and
corporate confidence. Also drawing in capital investment
flows was the inclusion of Indian government bonds in JP
Morgan's emerging market indices in June 2024.
Political stability counts, too. While the result of the general
election in India came as a surprise to many, Prime
Minister Narendra Modi secured a third term in office, this
time with a coalition government. The new government’s
first budget presented in July showed that fiscal prudence
was high on the agenda, with a continued focus on
infrastructure development, albeit with some moderation
in the pace of growth. There also appeared to be efforts to
plug gaps in the economy around consumption, rural
demand and employment – all of which was generally
well received. Such a supportive economic and policy
environment was reflected in strength at the corporate
level, with solid earnings results especially in sectors like
power and industrials. This generally upbeat mood has
been supported by a domestic investor boom, with
locals increasingly channelling their savings into the
equity market.
We remain positive on India, as we have been since the
inception of the Company almost 30 years ago, with the
country representing a sizeable 27% of the portfolio at
year-end, our highest country weighting. The small-cap
benchmark, however, has an even higher allocation to
India at 34%. While our relatively lighter exposure to India
proved costly, this was more than compensated for by the
strong performance of our holdings across a range of
sectors. Notably, six of the portfolio’s top ten stock
performers this year came from India. The best performer
was Prestige Estates, which we believe is well positioned as
one of the few quality, listed operators in the Indian
property space. It has benefited from the ongoing upcycle
in residential property. In the energy sector, Aegis Logistics
continued to benefit from India’s shift away from fossil
fuels towards cleaner energy, with demand for liquefied
petroleum gas bolstered by its cost competitiveness
relative to other gas alternatives. Elsewhere, in the
healthcare sector, Vijaya Diagnostic Centre reported
consistently good results, with organic growth that
continued to be well ahead of industry peers. Organic
growth was a result of a combination of existing centres
continuing to grow as well as from new centres that were
opened over the last two years.
The other key country to highlight is Taiwan, a market that
is well represented in the small cap index. With global
equity investors fixated on Nvidia and the rise of artificial
intelligence (AI), this technology-heavy market did well.
Indeed, Taiwanese corporates have benefited from both
a cyclical upturn in semiconductor pricing and strong
incremental demand for advanced chips. Throughout this,
we have been bullish on technology, and the
semiconductor sector specifically, although we have been
highly selective, focusing our interest on businesses that
we feel are true leaders in their field with clear and
defensible business moats. As a result, we have averaged
a significantly lower allocation to Taiwan over the year
compared to the small-cap benchmark, which weighed
on relative performance. In addition, several of our stocks
lagged the benchmark’s rise despite still posting
reasonable returns. Despite our underweight position, and
the recent sell-off in technology stocks that we have
witnessed since the end of the Company’s fiscal year-end,
we continue to be confident in the prospects for high-
quality technology and semiconductor stocks in the
region. As evidence of this, we invested in Chroma Ate
during the year, a company that is one of the top test
equipment businesses globally, specialising in power
testing across a range of industries, but also increasingly
involved in system-level testing for semiconductors. We
expect Chroma to be in a prime position to benefit from
Investment Mana
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